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:
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
MATERNAL RISK FACTORS FOR MODERATE AND LATE PRETERM LABOUR:
A CASE-CONTROL STUDY FROM A TERTIARY CARE HOSPITAL IN PESHAWAR
Sara Jamil
1
, Fauzia Afridi
2
, Wajeeha Javid
1
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES
The aim of the study was to determine the maternal risk factors associated
with moderate and late preterm labor.
METHODOLOGY
This case-control study was conducted at the Department of Obstetrics and
Gynaecology, Khyber Teaching Hospital, from March 1 2024, to Augus t 31
2024. Patients in the age range 18 to 40 years diagnosed with moderate and
late preterm labor were compared with controls for maternal risk factors,
including inadequate prenatal care and maternal hypertension. Data analysis
was conducted in SPSS v.26, and odds ratios were calculated using a 2x2
table.
RESULTS
The mean age of the cases was 29.14±6.239 years compared to 27.91±6.754
years in controls. The mean gestational age in cases and controls was
33.88±1.372 weeks and 38.78±1.439 weeks, respectively. Sixty-four patients
(55.7%) in cases were aged more than 30 years compared to 51 patients
(44.3%) among controls (p value 0.112). Among cases, 112 patients (49.1%)
were multiparous, versus 116 (50.9%) among controls (p value 0.901).
Overall, inadequate prenatal care was recorded in 85 participants (53;
62.4%) as cases versus 32 controls (37.6%), p value 0.006, OR 2.070 (95%
CI 1.226 - 3.497). Maternal hypertension was recorded in 74 patients, more
frequently among cases (n = 45, 60.8%) than among controls (n = 29,
39.2%), p value 0.029; OR 1.822 (95% CI 1.058 - 3.136).
CONCLUSION
Patients with preterm labour had a higher prevalence of poor prenatal care
and maternal hypertension. Our ndings highlight the signicance of proper
prenatal care and ecient management of hypertensive diseases throughout
pregnancy.
KEYWORDS: Preterm Labor, Moderate Preterm, Late Preterm, Maternal
Risk Factors, Inadequate Prenatal Care, Maternal Hypertension
How to cite this article
Jamil S, Afridi F, Javid W. Maternal
Risk Factors for Moderate and Late
Preterm Labour: A Case-Control
Study from a Tertiary Care Hospital in
Peshawar. J Gandhara Med Dent Sci.
2026;13(1):54-59.
Date of Submission: 20-08-2025
Date Revised: 15-12-2025
Date Acceptance: 16-12-2025
1
Postgraduate Trainee, Obstetrics and
Gynaecology, Khyber Teaching Hospital,
Peshawar
Correspondence
Fauzia Afridi, AssociateProfessor,
Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Khyber
Teaching Hospital, Peshawar
+92-333-9154231
afridifauzia@gmail.com
INTRODUCTION
Every neonate delivered before 37 weeks of gestational
age (GA) is considered preterm, according to WHO.
Infants delivered within 34 and 36 weeks and six days
are considered late preterm, while those born before 28
weeks are considered very premature.
1
With over one
million fatalities annually globally, prematurity is the
primary cause of death and disability among infants,
occurring in over 10% of births. Basic medical care and
inexpensive treatments can avert the majority of these
fatalities.
2
Premature labor is the primary maternal
problems that result in late preterm delivery.
3
Twin
pregnancies, hypertensive illness, gestational diabetes,
and urinary tract infections are among the other
obstetric disorders that can cause preterm birth. The
unsettling fetal state and limited intrauterine growth are
two of the primary fetal reasons.
4
The relationship
between GA and the risk of newborn problems is
inverse. The fetus’s growth advances, and the incidence
and intensity of newborn problems decrease with each
passing week it stays in the uterus.
5
The likelihood of
adverse eects from late prematurity is approximately
seven times greater than that of term infants (TI). These
initial issues encompass breathing diculty, failure to
maintain temperature, low blood sugar, elevated
bilirubin levels, eating challenges,
CNS underdevelopment, and exposure to microbes.
6
In
addition, compared to term newborns, the possibility of
hospital admission and morbidity is increased
throughout the rst year of life.
7
In a study, intrauterine
growth retardation was observed in 24.1% patients with
moderate and late preterm as compared to 7.8% with
term labor. Inadequate visits were reported in 76.9%
patients with preterm labor as compared to 60.3%
patients with term labor. Maternal hypertension was
observed in 29.8% patients with moderate and late
preterm as compared 11.9% with term infants.
8
The
lack of information on the risk factors for moderate and
late preterm birth in our community prompted the
https://doi.org/10.37762/jgmds.13-1.776
January - March 2026
55
J Gandhara Med Dent Sci
planning of this study. Because preterm birth has
several clinical and economic ramications, it is
essential to understand the variables that contribute to
moderate and late preterm birth. Our study’s ndings
will help ll this information gap. Better counseling of
expectant mothers with possible risk factors regarding
the course of their pregnancy might also benet from it.
METHODOLOGY
This case-control study was conducted at the
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Khyber
Teaching Hospital, Peshawar, during the period March
1, 2024, to August 31, 2024. Women aged 18 to 40
years with gestational age 32 to 36
+6
weeks as per last
menstrual period were contrasted, for maternal risk
factors including inadequate prenatal care and maternal
hypertension, with healthy controls. Patients with a
prior history of cesarean delivery, patients with medical
conditions such as thyroid disorder, multiple
pregnancies on ultrasound, babies with congenital
anomalies, and intrauterine death were excluded.
Preterm labor was dened by labor onset prior to 37
weeks of gestation. Labor onset between 32 and 33+6
weeks was called moderate preterm, and 34 to 36+6
weeks were called late preterm, which were considered
cases. Healthy controls included patients with an onset
of labor at 37 weeks of gestation or later. Maternal risk
factors evaluated included inadequate prenatal care,
defined as fewer than three medical visits during
pregnancy, regardless of gestational age. Maternal
hypertension was dened as blood pressure more than
140/90mmHg measured using a sphygmomanometer,
during pregnancy on two or more occasions at least 4
hours apart. It was hypothesized that maternal
hypertension and inadequate antenatal care are
associated with moderate and late preterm labor (i.e.,
odds ratio more than 1). Sample size was 274 (137 in
each group), calculated using the WHO sample size
formula, with anticipated proportions of inadequate
visits in patients with preterm and term labor set at
76.9% and 60.3%, respectively, 80% power of the test,
and a 95% condence level. Participants were recruited
using non-probability consecutive sampling. Patients
fulfilling the inclusion criteria were enrolled from the
hospital‘s indoor department after obtaining approval
from the institute‘s research review board and the
CPSP. Informed consent was taken from all study
participants after explaining the purpose, risks, and
benets of the study. Baseline information, including
age (years), gestational age (weeks), BMI (kg/m
2
),
residence, profession, education, and socioeconomic
status, was recorded. All patients were evaluated for
maternal risk factors. For maternal risk factors, history
was taken about previous history of hypertension.
Blood pressure was recorded in the lying position on
two occasions at least 4 hours apart using a
sphygmomanometer. History was taken regarding the
number of visits the patients made during the entire
length of pregnancy. The number of visits documented
in the medical record during the period of gestation was
noted. Maternal risk factors were noted as per
operational denitions. Data were analyzed using IBM
SPSS Statistics version 24. Frequencies and
percentages were computed for qualitative variables,
including residence, profession, education,
socioeconomic status, parity, and maternal risk factors
(hypertension and inadequate antenatal care). Means ±
S.D. or median (IQR) were computed for quantitative
data on age, gestational age, and BMI after checking
the normality of the data using the Shapiro-Wilk test.
The association between maternal risk factors and
moderate/late preterm was measured using the chi-
square test at the 5% level of signicance, with p-
values ≤0.05 considered statistically signicant. Odds
ratios for maternal risk factors (hypertension and
inadequate antenatal care) were calculated using a 2x2
table to measure the strength of association. 95% CI for
the odds ratio was calculated. Odds ratios with 95% CIs
excluding one were considered signicant. Eect
modifiers such as age, gestational age, parity, BMI,
residence, education, profession, and socioeconomic
status were controlled for by stratication. A post-
stratication chi-square test at the 5% signicance level
was applied. P-value ≤0.05 was considered statistically
significant. A multivariate logistic regression model
was used to identify independent predictors of preterm
labour.
RESULTS
The mean age of the cases was 29.14±6.239 years
compared to 27.91±6.754 years in controls. The mean
gestational age in cases and controls was 33.88±1.372
weeks and 38.78±1.439 weeks, respectively. Sixty-four
patients (55.7%) in the cases were aged more than 30
years, compared to 51 patients (44.3%) among controls
(p value 0.112). Among cases, 112 patients (49.1%)
were multiparous, versus 116 (50.9%) among controls
(p value 0.901). No statistically signicant dierence
was observed between cases and controls regarding
socioeconomic status (p-value 0.468); however, a
significant dierence in profession distribution was
observed (p-value 0.034). Overall, inadequate prenatal
care was recorded in 85 participants, of whom 53
(62.4%) were cases and 32 (37.6%) were controls (p
value 0.006; OR 2.070 [95% CI 1.226-3.497]).
Maternal hypertension was recorded in 74 patients,
more frequently among cases (n = 45, 60.8%) than
among controls (n = 29, 39.2%), with an OR of 1.822
Maternal Risk Factors for Moderate and Late Preterm
January - March 2026
56
J Gandhara Med Dent Sci
(95% CI 1.058 - 3.136). Stratication of inadequate
prenatal care by age showed no statistically signicant
dierence (p-value = 0.726). 49 patients (29.3%) with
BMI 25.0 kg/m2 or below received inadequate care,
compared to 36 patients (33.6%) with BMI> 25.0
kg/m
2
, p value 0.452. Inadequate care was observed in
16 (34.8%) primiparous patients, compared with 69
(30.3%) multiparous patients (p value 0.546). No
statistically signicant association was observed with
other parameters (p value > 0.05). Forty-one patients
(25.8%) aged 30 years or below had maternal
hypertension versus 33 (28.7%) aged more than 30
years. The p-value was 0.592. The p-value for the
difference in distribution by BMI was 0.419. Sixteen
patients (34.8%) with maternal hypertension were
primiparous versus 58 (25.4%) multiparous patients (p
value 0.193). A binary logistic regression model was
constructed to assess the eect of baseline variables on
outcome parameters. However, no statistically
signicant eect was observed (p value >0.05, OR ≈ 1
and 95% CI for odds ratio included 1).
Table 1: Distribution of Patients According to Baseline
Parameters (n = 274)
Group P-Value
Cases
(n=137)
Controls
(n=137)
Age
(years)
30 or below 73 86 0.112
45.9% 54.1%
More than
30
64 51
55.7% 44.3%
BMI
(kg/m
2
)
25.0 or
below
83 84 0.901
49.7% 50.3%
More than
25.0
54 53
50.5% 49.5%
Parity Primiparous 25 21 0.901
54.3% 45.7%
Multiparous 112 116
49.1% 50.9%
SES Fair 61 67 0.468
47.7% 52.3%
Poor 76 70
52.1% 47.9%
Profession House wife 105 89 0.034
54.1% 45.9%
Professional 32 48
40.0% 60.0%
Residence Rural 73 79 0.466
48.0% 52.0%
Urban 64 58
52.5% 47.5%
Education No formal
schooling
34 18 0.037
65.4% 34.6%
Matric or
below
61 76
44.5% 55.5%
Above
matric
42 43
49.4% 50.6%
Table 2: 2x2 Table Analysis and Odds Ratio for Outcome
Variables (n = 274)
Outcome
variables
Group P-Val
ue
Odds
ratio
Cases Controls
Inadequate
Prenatal Care
Yes 53 32 0.006
2.070
(1.226 -
3.497)
62.4% 37.6%
No 84 105
44.4% 55.6%
Maternal
Hypertens
ion
Yes 45 29 0.029
1.822
(1.058-
3.136)
60.8% 39.2%
No 92 108
46.0% 54.0%
Table 3: Stratication of Inadequate Prenatal Care with Baseline
Parameters (n = 274)
Inadequate
Prenatal Care
P-Value
Yes
(n=85)
No
(n=189)
Age
(years)
30 or below 48 111 0.726
30.2% 69.8%
More than
30
37 78
32.2% 67.8%
BMI
(kg/m
2
)
25.0 or
below
49 118 0.452
29.3% 70.7%
More than
25.0
36 71
33.6% 66.4%
Parity Primiparous 16 30 0.546
34.8% 65.2%
Multiparous 69 159
30.3% 69.7%
SES Fair 42 86 0.549
32.8% 67.2%
Poor 43 103
29.5% 70.5%
Profession House wife 64 130 0.273
33.0% 67.0%
Professional
21 59
26.3% 73.8%
Residence Rural 47 105 0.968
30.9% 69.1%
Urban 38 84
31.1% 68.9%
Education No formal
schooling
18 34 0.355
34.6% 65.4%
Matric or
below
37 100
27.0% 73.0%
Above
matric
30 55
35.3% 64.7%
Maternal Risk Factors for Moderate and Late Preterm
January - March 2026
57
J Gandhara Med Dent Sci
Table 4: Stratication of Maternal Hypertension with Various
Parameters (n = 274)
Maternal
Hypertension
P-
Value
Yes
(n=74)
No
(n=200)
Age
(years)
30 or below
41 118
0.592
25.8% 74.2%
More than
30
33 82
28.7% 71.3%
BMI
(kg/m
2
)
25.0 or
below
48 119
0.419
28.7% 71.3%
More than
25.0
26 81
24.3% 75.7%
Parity
Primiparous
16 30
0.193
34.8% 65.2%
Multiparous
58 170
25.4% 74.6%
SES
Fair
35 93
0.907
27.3% 72.7%
Poor
39 107
26.7% 73.3%
Profession
House wife
50 144
0.474
25.8% 74.2%
Professional
24 56
30.0% 70.0%
Residence
Rural
44 108
0.419
28.9% 71.1%
Urban
30 92
24.6% 75.4%
Education
No formal
schooling
09 43
0.204
17.3% 82.7%
Matric or
below
39 98
28.5% 71.5%
Above
matric
26 59
30.6% 69.4%
Table 5: Logistic regression analysis predicting inadequate
prenatal care and maternal hypertension (n = 274)
Depend
ent Vari
ables
Predic
tors
B S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
OR
95% CI
for OR
Lower
Inadequ
ate
prenatal
care
Age -.114
.268
.182
1 .670
.892
.528 1.508
BMI -.163 .273
.359
1 .549
.849
.497 1.450
Parity .178
.348
.262
1 .609
1.195
.604 2.364
SES .168
.268
.393
1 .531
1.183
.700 1.998
Profes
sion
.308
.301
1.053
1 .305
1.361
.755 2.454
Reside
nce
-.013
.268
.002
1 .962
.987
.583 1.671
Educat
ion
-.055
.191
.082
1 .775
.947
.651 1.377
Materna
l HTN
Age -.124
.281
.195
1 .659
.883
.510 1.532
BMI .254
.292
.761
1 .383
1.290
.728 2.285
Parity .398
.353
1.266
1 .260
1.489
.745 2.976
SES .098
.281
.121
1 .728
1.103
.635 1.914
Profes
sion
-.201
.300
.447
1 .504
.818
.454 1.473
Reside
nce
.130
.283
.211
1 .646
1.139
.654 1.982
Educat
ion
-.305
.203
2.249
1 .134
.737
.495 1.098
Upper
DISCUSSION
Pakistan has 21.6% preterm birth rate, which is
comparable to other developing nations and far higher
than that of industrialized nations.
9
This case-control
study assessed the maternal risk factors associated with
moderate and late preterm birth in a tertiary care setting
in Pakistan. The ndings demonstrated that inadequate
prenatal care and maternal hypertension were
significantly associated with preterm labor, which
aligns with previously reported literature. While most
baseline demographic characteristics, such as maternal
age, BMI, parity, socioeconomic status, and residence,
did not dier signicantly between groups, our study
found a statistically signicant dierence in education
level (p = 0.037). A greater proportion of women in the
preterm group had no formal schooling compared to
controls. These ndings suggest that lower educational
attainment may contribute to an increased risk of
preterm birth, possibly due to limited health literacy or
reduced access to healthcare resources. These
associations merit further exploration in future
studies.
11,12
Maternal hypertension was another
significant risk factor identied in our study. Among
preterm cases, 60.8% had hypertension compared to
39.2% of controls (p = 0.029; OR 1.82, 95% CI: 1.06-
3.14). This nding corroborates earlier research by
Brown et al. and Araújo et al., which demonstrated that
hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, primarily
preeclampsia, are strongly associated with placental
insuciency and increased rates of medically indicated
preterm birth.
4,13
Hypertension compromises
uteroplacental blood ow, potentially leading to fetal
growth restriction and premature labor induction.
Numerous studies link insucient prenatal care to
preterm birth.
14,15
Our results showed that inadequate
prenatal care, dened as fewer than three visits during
pregnancy, was signicantly more common among
women who delivered preterm than among those with
term deliveries (62.4% vs. 37.6%, p = 0.006; OR 2.07,
95% CI: 1.23-3.50). This observation is consistent with
studies by Razeq et al. and Machado et al., which found
that reduced antenatal visits are associated with an
increased risk of preterm delivery.
12,16
Poor attendance
at prenatal clinics may lead to missed opportunities for
early detection and management of pregnancy
complications, thereby increasing the risk of adverse
outcomes such as preterm birth. Approximately two-
thirds of the late preterm babies in previous research
were spontaneous preterm deliveries. Recognizable risk
variables, including diabetes, hypertension, and fetal
distress, accounted for the remaining third.
17,18
A minor
fraction lacked a discernible risk factor, which may
Maternal Risk Factors for Moderate and Late Preterm
January - March 2026
58
J Gandhara Med Dent Sci
have been caused by surgical decision-making or
inadequate reporting of maternal or fetal diseases.
19,20
The clinical implications of our ndings are
considerable. Emphasizing the importance of regular,
high-quality antenatal care can enable earlier
identification and management of maternal conditions,
such as hypertension. Public health strategies should
therefore include strengthening community-level
awareness and improving access to antenatal services,
particularly in underserved populations. Moreover,
targeting educational interventions to less educated
women and homemakers may further reduce the burden
of preterm birth. The strengths of this study include its
prospective design, standardized data collection
methods, and operational denitions, which enhance
methodological rigor. Moreover, the study population
was adequately matched, and confounding variables
were addressed using logistic regression, thereby
strengthening the internal validity of this study.
LIMITATIONS
First, it was conducted at a single tertiary care hospital,
which may limit the generalizability of the ndings to
other settings, particularly rural areas. Second, the use
of non-probability consecutive sampling could
introduce selection bias. Third, the reliance on self-
reported data in the absence of medical records for
antenatal care visits introduces the potential for recall
bias. Fourth, although key maternal risk factors were
considered, unmeasured confounders such as nutritional
status, psychosocial stress, and environmental
exposures were not accounted for. Lastly, maternal
hypertension was analyzed as a single entity, as it was
not always possible to dierentiate reliably between
chronic hypertension, gestational hypertension, and
preeclampsia, due to the late booking of some patients.
CONCLUSIONS
Inadequate prenatal care and maternal hypertension are
significant contributors to moderate and late preterm
labor in our population, almost doubling the risk.
Focused antenatal interventions, educational support,
and improved maternal health surveillance, including
regular blood pressure monitoring, can mitigate these
modifiable risk factors for preterm labor. Future
multicenter studies with larger sample sizes and broader
risk-factor assessment are recommended to elucidate
the determinants of preterm birth in Pakistan.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None
FUNDING SOURCES: None
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Maternal Risk Factors for Moderate and Late Preterm
January - March 2026
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Unveiling the Silent Epidemic of Uterine Prolapse
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Sara Jamil - Concept & Design; Data Acquisition; Data
Analysis/interpretation; Drafting Manuscript; Final Approval
Fauzia Afridi - Concept & Design; Data Acquisition; Drafting
Manuscript; Critical Revision; Supervision; Final Approval
Wajeeha Javid - Concept & Design; Data Acquisition; Drafting
Manuscript; Final Approval
AUTHORS CONTRIBUTION
The authors accept responsibility for all aspects of the work
and will ensure that any concerns regarding the accuracy or
integrity of any part are properly investigated and resolved.
Maternal Risk Factors for Moderate and Late Preterm
January - March 2026