Diagnostic Accuracy of the Ottawa Knee Rule to Rule out Knee Fractures Using MRI as Gold Standard

Authors

  • Huma Rahman Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar
  • Shuaib Khan Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar
  • Muhammad Mehran Khan Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar
  • Hesham Arshad Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar
  • Fahad Iqbal Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37762/jgmds.13-2.894

Keywords:

Ottawa Knee Rule, Knee Fracture, Diagnostic Accuracy, MRI, Emergency Department, Sensitivity, Specificity

Abstract

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine the diagnostic accuracy of the Ottawa Knee Rule for detecting knee fractures, using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as the reference standard.

METHODOLOGY

This prospective diagnostic accuracy study was conducted at the Department of Emergency Medicine, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, from August 2023 to February 2024. A total of 96 patients with acute knee trauma were included using consecutive non-probability sampling. The Ottawa Knee Rule was applied clinically, followed by MRI evaluation. Diagnostic parameters, including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), likelihood ratios, and 95% confidence intervals (CI), were calculated.

RESULTS
The Ottawa Knee Rule demonstrated a sensitivity of 86.1% (95% CI: 71.3-94.2) and specificity of 65.0% (95% CI: 51.5-76.6). The PPV was 59.6% (95% CI: 45.3-72.4), while the NPV was 88.6% (95% CI: 75.4-95.4). The overall diagnostic accuracy was 72.9%. The positive likelihood ratio (LR+) was 2.46, and the negative likelihood ratio (LR−) was 0.21.

CONCLUSION

The Ottawa Knee Rule demonstrated good sensitivity and moderate specificity; however, its performance was lower than that reported in meta-analyses. It remains a useful rule-out tool; however, findings should be interpreted cautiously due to limitations in MRI-based validation and study design.

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Author Biographies

Huma Rahman, Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Resident,
Department of Emergency Medicine,
Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Shuaib Khan, Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Resident,
Department of Emergency Medicine,
Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Muhammad Mehran Khan, Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Resident,
Department of Emergency Medicine,
Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Hesham Arshad, Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Resident,
Department of Emergency Medicine,
Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Fahad Iqbal, Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

Resident,
Department of Emergency Medicine,
Lady Reading Hospital MTI, Peshawar

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Published

2026-04-01

How to Cite

Huma Rahman, Shuaib Khan, Muhammad Mehran Khan, Hesham Arshad, & Fahad Iqbal. (2026). Diagnostic Accuracy of the Ottawa Knee Rule to Rule out Knee Fractures Using MRI as Gold Standard. Journal of Gandhara Medical and Dental Science, 13(2). https://doi.org/10.37762/jgmds.13-2.894